Each Football season marks the exciting race to the respective championships. However at the opposite end of the table are the battles to avoid relegation which have the potential of destroying a franchise. Likely the saddest example of this is Leeds United which only a few years ago was playing within the Champions League and now is trying to battle up from League 2. This results in some of the most passioned play and each year a few teams rescue their teams fortune and make the "great escape". Within Serie A, Ligue 1 Orange and the Premier League the relegation fight is tight, "can't miss" action as noted below.
Serie AWith four matches left to play it is premature to call but it appears that
Cagliari has won the "great escape" of all the leagues, coming up from near extinction and playing as a upper half of the table team since their January victory over
Napoli. Over the last fifteen matches they have earned twenty-five points including draws against
Roma and
Juventus and their escape while not guaranteed, seems very close. Of course what is quite obvious is that with three teams tied in the final three positions and the fourth only one point above, anything can happen.
With
Parma visiting
Reggina tomorrow, the table could radically change and of all the clubs, Reggina is likely in the best position to jump out of relegation as they face
Catania,
Empoli and Cagliari in successive weeks. Livorno's schedule is a mountainous challenge as they face
A.C. Milan,
Atalanta and
Torino before meeting Empoli the final weekend. Empoli's schedule includes tough matches against Genoa and
Udinese before facing Reggina and
Livorno the final weekends. Parma's road is unquestionably the most difficult and why I expect them to be relegated as they face
Genoa,
Fiorentina and
InterMilan after tomorrows match against Reggina. For them to avoid relegation, a win tomorrow is critical.
| GP | Wins | Draws | Losses | Goals | Against | Total
|
| Catania Calcio | 34 | 8 | 11 | 15 | 29 | 39 | 35 |
| Cagliari | 34 | 9 | 8 | 17 | 33 | 51 | 35 |
| Torino | 34 | 6 | 16 | 12 | 32 | 43 | 34 |
| Parma | 34 | 6 | 13 | 15 | 39 | 55 | 31 |
| Livorno | 34 | 6 | 12 | 16 | 31 | 50 | 30 |
| Empoli | 34 | 7 | 9 | 18 | 26 | 48 | 30 |
| Reggina | 34 | 6 | 12 | 16 | 29 | 52 | 30 |
Premier League (England)With two matches left to play and
Derby County long since resigned to their fate, the battle of the bottom two positions is tight, in particular with the final spot now occupied by
Birmingham City. However before you cast Derby aside, they will have an enormous impact on this race as
Reading must come into Pride Park to face them in the final weekend of the campaign. Derby's fans have been some of the most loyal in the league and I expect a stellar performance from Derby that day. Reading will not want to come into the final weekend needing points however they face the very difficult task of facing
Tottenham next weekend, so this is going to be a very trying situation for the Reading faithful.
Fulham's situation is a peculiar one because in-fact this is far too good of a squad to be in this situation. Todays stunning second-half recovery against
Manchester City for a 3-2 victory is just part of a odd season of squandered points. While their chances to escape relegation are not easy, I expect the likes of Jimmy Bullard, David Healy and Brian McBride at their attacking best in next weekends match against Birmingham City at Craven Cottage. Their final match of the season is a brutal task of visiting
Portsmouth so the task of moving up two positions won't be easy. After todays match, in which Birmingham City threw away a two-goal lead against
Liverpool, you have to question the passion of the squad and whether they have the mettle to overcome next weekends tussle against Fulham and the following weekend against
Blackburn. Gary Megson's
Bolton might have the toughest challenge as they face
Sunderland and title-chasing Chelsea the final two weeks and to escape relegation they must earn points against Roy Keane's squad.
| GP | Wins | Draws | Losses | Goals | Against | Total
|
| Middlesbrough | 36 | 8 | 12 | 16 | 33 | 52 | 36 |
| Bolton | 36 | 8 | 9 | 19 | 33 | 53 | 33 |
| Reading | 36 | 9 | 6 | 21 | 37 | 65 | 33 |
| Birmingham City | 36 | 7 | 11 | 18 | 42 | 59 | 32 |
| Fulham | 36 | 6 | 12 | 18 | 35 | 60 | 30 |
| Derby County | 35 | 1 | 8 | 26 | 17 | 76 | 11 |
Ligue 1 OrangeMuch of the ongoing storyline is whether
Paris Saint-Germain will escape relegation and given Strasbourg's extremely difficult final three games against
Nancy,
Caen and Marseille it would appear that
Strasbourg is headed down. PSG's chances of avoiding relegation were given fresh life with a overwhelming 3-1 victory today against
Auxerre. The real showdown is coming with the three-way tie between PSG,
Lens and Toulouse.
Next weekends match between PSG and
Toulouse, in Toulouse, will go a long way in deciding either squads fate. Toulouse is a significantly better squad at home and I expect a tight defensive battle as a they won't want to let the PSG offense to get untracked. Following that match, PSG plays
Saint-Étienne and
Sochaux-Montbéliard as well as the final in the Coupe de France. Remarkably they could actually be relegated but win two domestic titles and receive a UEFA Cup bid. St. Etienne is in a tight battle with
Marseille for the final UEFA Cup spot so points will be at a premium.
Toulouse after playing PSG next weekend, has tough matches against Rennes and
Valenciennes.
Lens schedule includes difficult tests against
Monaco,
Lille and that final weekend against
Bordeaux and likely has the most difficult challenge of the three clubs.
| GP | Wins | Draws | Losses | Goals | Against | Total
|
| Auxerre | 35 | 11 | 8 | 16 | 30 | 46 | 41 |
| Toulouse | 35 | 8 | 14 | 13 | 32 | 38 | 38 |
| Lens | 35 | 9 | 11 | 15 | 40 | 48 | 38 |
| PSG | 35 | 9 | 11 | 15 | 33 | 42 | 38 |
| Strasbourg | 35 | 9 | 8 | 18 | 30 | 44 | 35 |
| Metz | 35 | 4 | 8 | 23 | 23 | 59 | 20 |